本书系统介绍了作者自主研发的土地系统变化动力学与效应模拟的三层次结构模型的构架、模块和原理。重点介绍了构成模型的三大模块——基于CGELUC的区域土地利用结构预测、基于DLS的栅格尺度土地利用格局模拟、基于ESLP的土地系统变化效应评估模块——的功能与应用。适用于土地利用与土地系统、区域环境变化、生态保育规划等专业的研究者参考，同时也能为土地资源开发利用管理部门与环境保护部门提供借鉴。
邓祥征。山东省日照市人，中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所研究员。中国科 学院农业政策研究中心研究员。IHDP城市化与全球环境变化(UGEC)计划科 学指导委员会委员。主要从事土地利用变化的经济、环境影响与政策研究，尤 其关注土地系统中人与环境相互作用的机理及其对土地利用格局与过程的影响 研究。100余篇，出版专著3部。
Chapter 1 Land System and Research Plans
1.1 Land System
1.1.1 Structure of the Land System
1.1.2 Theory and Methodology of Land System Research
1.1.3 Procedures of Land System Research
1.1.4 Model Architecture of a Land System
1.1.5 Approaches to Land System Research
1.2 Research Plans and Achievements of the LUCC Plan
1.2.1 Identification of Land Uses
1.2.2 Progress of Land Use Research
1.2.3 Research Achievements of the LUCC Plan
1.3 he Global Land Project
1.3.1 Background
1.3.2 Formation and Development of the GLP
1.4 Summary
References
Chapter 2 Modeling Framework
2.1 Modeling Strategy at Regional and Pixel Scales
2.1.1 Modeling Procedures for Conversion from Pixel to
Regional Scales
2.1.2 Accuracy Verification and Deduction from the
Pixel Scale to the Regional Scale
2.2 Shift from Mechanism Analysis to Effects Assessment
2.2.1 Mechanism Analysis of the Dynamics of Land
System Change
2.2.2 Effects Assessment
2.2.3 Multiple Scales in the Dynamics of Land System
Change
2.2.4 Key Processes from the Mechanism Analysis to the
Effects Assessment
2.3 Summary
References
Chapter 3 The CGELUC Model and Its Application
3.1 The CGELUC Model
3.1.1 Framework of the CGELUC Model
3.1.2 Modules of the CGELUC Model
3.2 The CGELUC Model Database
3.2.1 Database of Thematic Quantitative Analysis
3.2.2 The SAM
3.2.3 Preparation of the SAM Parameters
3.3 Methods of SAM Compilation
3.3.1 Compilation of the Macroscopic SAM
3.3.2 Subdivision of the Macroscopic SAM
3.3.3 Balancing the SAM
3.4 Summary
References
Chapter 4 The DLS Model and Its Application
4.1 Principles and Function Modules of the DLS Model
4.1.1 Fundamental Definition
4.1.2 Features of the DLS Model
4.1.3 Framework of the DLS Model
4.1.4 Application
4.1.5 Function Modules of the DLS Model
4.1.6 Explanatory Linear Model of Land Use Pattern
4.1.7 Explanatory Nonlinear Model of Land Use Pattern
4.1.8 Spatial Allocation of the Changing Area of Land
Uses
4.2 DLS Installation and Configuration
4.2.1 DLS Installation
4.2.2 Configuring the DLS Operating Environment
4.3 DLS Input Parameter Preparation
4.3.1 Simulation Condition Setting Parameters
4.3.2 Spatial Analysis Parameters
4.3.3 Driving Factor Data
4.3.4 Land Demand Scenario Data
4.3.5 Restricted Region Code Data
4.3.6 Land Use Type Data
……
Chapter 5 Estimation System for Land Productivity and
Chapter 6 Simulation of Structural Change in Land Use in Jiangxi Province Using the CGELUC Model
Chapter 7 Modeling the Dynamics of the Land System in an Agriculture-Pasture Transition Zone in China
Chapter8 Estimation of the Impacts of Land System Change on Land Productivity in the North China Plain
Conclusions and Further Research
Appendix 1 VBA Program of RAS Method
Appendix 2 SAM of Jiangxi Province in 2007 Index
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